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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1nvoker1e46m3keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market17% (156–789, n=945)42% (44–60, n=104)
Consensus PnL$3.6K$536K$118K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999PM monthly #2PM monthly #41
Sides with the consensus59% (36 of 61 open)73% (322 of 439 open)73% (19 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
  • NBA +52 pts n=428, ROI +51%
  • NHL +44 pts n=75, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +43 pts n=87, ROI +48%
Weakest topicCrypto −8 pts, n=22NFL −6 pts, n=17—
Settled positions, side won48% of 571 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%100% of 691 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 5% of 246)38% (won 18% of 2197)2% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 38% of 55)7% (won 53% of 397)49% (won 100% of 338)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 69)9% (won 71% of 531)40% (won 100% of 278)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 201)46% (won 97% of 2679)9% (won 100% of 59)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1nvoker1e46m3keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $60—
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $259No $31—
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $39Yes $6—