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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5783–6970, n=12753) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.0K | -$6.6M | $14.8M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 41% (65 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (13 of 24 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie | Cameron Norrie $3.1K | — | Matteo Arnaldi $445 | — |
| Villa Maria: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ian Luca Vertberger opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Gagliardo | Lorenzo Gagliardo $341 | — | Ian Luca Vertberger $48 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $952 | — | No $7.7K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo same side · consensus Casper Ruud | Juan Manuel Cerundolo $109 | — | Juan Manuel Cerundolo $1.2K | — |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus Yes | No $111 | — | No $247 | — |