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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | RN1 | surfandturf | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5778–6961, n=12739) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 61% (395–248, n=643) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $13.4M | $4.1M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (151 of 257 open) | 94% (15 of 16 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | RN1 | surfandturf | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar opposite sides · consensus Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar $930 | Alejandro Tabilo $59 | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $952 | No $7.7K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone same side · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $2.1K | Luca Van Assche $1.4K | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne same side · consensus Xinyu Wang | Xinyu Wang $1.1K | Xinyu Wang $1.8K | — | — |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $112 | No $23 | — | — |