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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6kke1tFlaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (933–1180, n=2113)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL$103K$4.1M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #297PM monthly #9PM monthly #113PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (161 of 217 open)72% (71 of 98 open)54% (21 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won53% of 1606 at avg 49¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 19% of 498)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 42% of 388)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 67% of 314)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 96% of 406)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market6kke1tFlaznorpndb1primm
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $63—Colts $5.7K
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320—Commanders $285