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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 8m1 | denizz | RememberAmalek | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 57% (34–26, n=60) | 70% (143–62, n=205) | 63% (131–77, n=208) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $1.1M | $494K | $599K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #153 | PM monthly #229 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 54% (84 of 155 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 8m1 | denizz | RememberAmalek | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $40K | Yes $549 | — |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $32K | No $6 | — |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $12K | Yes $115 | — |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.3K | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No | No $136K | — | No $3.1K | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $10K | Yes $1.6K | — |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | No $4.8K | — |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.1K | No $1.1K | — |