← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (1157–188, n=1345) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $146K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (57 of 61 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=26 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 2323 at avg 90¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 2% of 183) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 40% of 20) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 52% of 33) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 90% (won 99% of 2087) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |