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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)49% (270–286, n=556)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$7.7M$4.1M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #924PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)71% (42 of 59 open)74% (163 of 220 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $110KNo $1.2K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16KNo $23K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $2.5K76ers $797—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $32KColts $63—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $1.5KBulls $215—