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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AgricultureSecretary | CORGII | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (3947–704, n=4651) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) |
| Consensus PnL | $220K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 22% (6 of 27 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (82 of 116 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | Finance ±0 pts, n=108 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 4328 at avg 80¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 12% of 666) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 48% of 187) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 67% of 176) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 99% of 3299) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AgricultureSecretary | CORGII | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $150 | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $600 | — | — | No $36K |