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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AllByMyseIfBreakTheBankRN1pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)72% (318–126, n=444)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)49% (345–353, n=698)
Consensus PnL$576K$10.6M$13.4M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #315 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus68% (17 of 25 open)89% (146 of 164 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———MLB −1 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won88% of 743 at avg 76¢, ROI +7%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 34% of 94)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 77% of 39)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)38% (won 43% of 266)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 89% of 70)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)61% (won 54% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up73% (won 99% of 540)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAllByMyseIfBreakTheBankRN1pleaseplease123
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.8KYes $29K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7KNo $25K——