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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (437–423, n=860) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $93K | $4.6M | $14.8M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #620 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #73 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (11 of 22 open) | 72% (71 of 98 open) | 56% (79 of 142 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 141) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 39% of 339) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 203) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 87% of 157) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $85K | — | — |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $1.0K | — | Eagles $8.7K | — |