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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AmericaFirst1RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)65% (2087–1126, n=3213)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$2.4K$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #750PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus53% (9 of 17 open)58% (85 of 146 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 52% of 21)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 96% of 244)22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 97% of 482)36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 750)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAmericaFirst1RN1sainttroplay
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
Buccaneers $390Falcons $2.7K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $54Raiders $2.7K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $415Over $1.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $28Cowboys $1.4K—
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $734Ravens $647—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $51Under $7.2K—
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $232Bills $4.0K—
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $55Bills $2.5K—
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $286Bills $93—