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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousUsername00gringo00beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)72% (4258–1677, n=5935)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)
Consensus PnL$459K$3.5M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (103 of 157 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won98% of 5348 at avg 56¢, ROI +7%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 74% of 291)0%3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 1986)0%30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 1832)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 100% of 1239)0%14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousUsername00gringo00beachboy4RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Zizou Bergs
Ignacio Buse $1.5K——Ignacio Buse $6.5K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $784—Yes $4.2K—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.1K—Yes $65—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Venus Williams $290——Venus Williams $1.2K