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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Aurelius7RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)47% (286–325, n=611)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$8.4K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #950PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)57% (87 of 153 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=60—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 16% of 64)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 39% of 64)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 83% of 250)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 96% of 26)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAurelius7RN1S-Works
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $926Eagles $6.8K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $311Under $1.3K—