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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Aurelius7FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)47% (286–325, n=611)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$8.4K$4.1M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #950PM monthly #9PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)72% (156 of 216 open)56% (79 of 141 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=60Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 16% of 64)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 39% of 64)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 83% of 250)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 96% of 26)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

36 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAurelius7FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $63Cowboys $4.9K—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.8KYes $105—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $2.1KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $527—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.4KNo $87—
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Virginia Cavaliers $1.7KArkansas Razorbacks $347—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $248Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.3K—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5KNo $1—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $603Over $18—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Arkansas Razorbacks $348Virginia Cavaliers $2—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334Under $7—
CD Ñublense vs. CSD Colo-Colo: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $225Under $2—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
—Arkansas Razorbacks $5Virginia Cavaliers $49—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $76KNo $4.7K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $17KNo $14K—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $22KNo $6.8K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $7.4K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.1KOver $10K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.8KNo $8.7K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $11KCD Cobresal $3.5K—
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.5KNo $5.9K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $926—Eagles $8.7K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9.0KYes $388—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.4KNo $2.7K—
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $3.5K—
Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.8KNo $6—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.7KNo $2.9K—
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $930No $4.3K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9KYes $1.4K—
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.3KOver $759—
Princeton Tigers vs. Siena Saints
same side · consensus Siena Saints
—Siena Saints $1.5KSiena Saints $920—
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KUnder $28—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
same side · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $2.0KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $26—
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KYes $234—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $311—Under $1.3K—
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Andres Martin
—Andres Martin $1.6KAndres Martin $17—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—76ers $81476ers $371—
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $665No $296—
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $812No $125—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—