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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (336–72, n=408) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 50% (20929–20600, n=41529) |
| Consensus PnL | -$561K | $3.2M | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #449 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 73% (81 of 111 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $122 | Yes $1.0M | — | — |