Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BTCGambler247BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Record (consensus markets)71% (210–85, n=295)45% (542–652, n=1194)56% (101–79, n=180)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$392K$10.6M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus71% (25 of 35 open)88% (130 of 147 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +39 pts n=90, ROI +42%
  • NHL +41 pts n=12, ROI +46%
  • Geopolitics +20 pts n=68, ROI +20%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won91% of 258 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 61% of 31)10% (won 82% of 56)7% (won 75% of 8)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 89% of 44)36% (won 98% of 198)26% (won 93% of 29)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 92% of 77)35% (won 99% of 191)42% (won 96% of 47)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 106)19% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBTCGambler247BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $59Yes $83K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7KYes $22K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $677Yes $2.6K——