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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BigRabbitBreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)36% (364–646, n=1010)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$124K$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #932 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus54% (45 of 84 open)72% (78 of 108 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −19 pts, n=57——
Settled positions, side won34% of 1941 at avg 33¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢49% (won 12% of 944)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 42% of 456)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 58% of 378)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 84% of 163)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBigRabbitBreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.9KYes $37K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5.0KNo $24K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $753—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.1KYes $72K—
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13KYes $2.2K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3Yes $943—