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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BigRabbitCORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)36% (364–646, n=1010)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$124K$4.5M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #932 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus54% (45 of 84 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (77 of 107 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −19 pts, n=57———
Settled positions, side won34% of 1941 at avg 33¢, ROI +1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢49% (won 12% of 944)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 42% of 456)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 58% of 378)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 84% of 163)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBigRabbitCORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.9K—Yes $37K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5.0K—No $24K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $753—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.1K—Yes $72K—
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13K—Yes $2.2K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3—Yes $943—