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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BigRabbit | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (364–646, n=1010) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $124K | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #932 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (45 of 83 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −19 pts, n=57 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 1941 at avg 33¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 12% of 944) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 42% of 456) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 58% of 378) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 84% of 163) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BigRabbit | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6.9K | — | Yes $37K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | — | No $24K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | No $753 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.1K | — | Yes $71K |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $13K | — | Yes $2.2K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | Yes $943 |