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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (1373–1908, n=3281) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $631K | $11.0M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (122 of 173 open) | 75% (83 of 110 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −5 pts, n=106 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 3627 at avg 66¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 7% of 1043) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 177) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 67% of 176) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 97% of 2231) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1 | Yes $30K | — |