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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BiggggggggBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (1388–2017, n=3405)46% (560–667, n=1227)
Consensus PnL—$559K$9.4M
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position84% (880 of 1043 open)63% (17 of 27 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Economy −5 pts, n=109—
Settled positions, side won—66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 7% of 1163)11% (won 80% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 43% of 182)35% (won 98% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 68% of 179)35% (won 100% of 201)
Entries 70¢ and up—60% (won 97% of 2298)20% (won 100% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BiggggggggBreakTheBank
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $17KYes $22K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23KYes $15K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $21KYes $3.7K
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19KYes $16
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $18KYes $516
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $15KYes $2.2K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.2KYes $164
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.3KYes $28
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $357Yes $3.4K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $765K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.9KNo $12K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $807No $16K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $1.0K