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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1385–2018, n=3403) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $650K | $11.2M | $5.6M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (903 of 1063 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −5 pts, n=106 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 3627 at avg 66¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 7% of 1043) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 177) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 67% of 176) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 97% of 2231) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.