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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BiggggggggBreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)20% (1328–5372, n=6700)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$559K$7.9M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #3PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus51% (115 of 225 open)69% (20 of 29 open)72% (93 of 130 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=109—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 7% of 1163)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 182)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 68% of 179)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 97% of 2298)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBiggggggggBreakTheBankndb1
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $173
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7Yes $993K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9—Yes $64K
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
No $10—No $2.0K