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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | e46m3 | RN1 | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 57% (8–6, n=14) | 47% (160–182, n=342) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2 | -$22 | -$49K | $111K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #111 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (85 of 91 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=196 | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 1058 at avg 65¢, ROI +2% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 6% of 323) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 51% of 45) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 74% of 38) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 99% of 652) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bigggggggg | e46m3 | RN1 | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? same side · consensus No | No $755 | No $21 | — | — |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? same side · consensus Yes | No $7 | No $12 | — | — |