Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Biggggggggndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)42% (1372–1906, n=3278)66% (876–458, n=1334)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$650K$4.1M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #26was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus68% (166 of 243 open)72% (28 of 39 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=106NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won67% of 3627 at avg 66¢, ROI 0%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 7% of 1043)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 177)20% (won 40% of 253)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 67% of 176)24% (won 57% of 310)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 97% of 2231)43% (won 93% of 544)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBiggggggggndb1sainttroplay
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $5.2KNo $94K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.7KNo $61K—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9Yes $62K—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4No $42—