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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
Biggggggggndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (1399–1962, n=3361)66% (901–474, n=1375)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL$559K$4.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #100PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (122 of 217 open)72% (109 of 152 open)50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=109NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 7% of 1163)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 182)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 68% of 179)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 97% of 2298)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBiggggggggndb1RN1
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $171—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9Yes $61K—
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
No $10No $2.0K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $46No $356—