← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 26% (611–1738, n=2349) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $60K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #541 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (62 of 127 open) | 88% (131 of 149 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −5 pts, n=16 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 1358 at avg 35¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 19% of 774) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 66% of 157) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 85% of 151) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 97% of 276) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25 | Yes $14K | — | — |