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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BillBenter2026beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (6135–3334, n=9469)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)
Consensus PnL$42K$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (9 of 15 open)100% (1 of 1 open)60% (79 of 132 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNBA ±0 pts, n=156NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won87% of 4544 at avg 72¢, ROI +15%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 23% of 204)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 45% of 399)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 84% of 1142)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 99% of 2799)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBillBenter2026beachboy4RN1
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $43—Yes $8.8K
Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $62—No $6.0K
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3—Yes $694
Will IK Start win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $5—No $4.6K
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $2—No $530
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $500
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $9—No $100
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2—No $41
Will IK Start vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1—Yes $2