Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?
Resolved Yes. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Yes 77%
1 arb excluded
$37.1K
$3.8K
Smart Money Signal
19 of 28 top traders (68%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Yesavg 67¢ | $8.3K | $10.0K | +$1.7K | 54% 57187-49444 (106631) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 74¢ | $8.0K | $7.1K | -$902.06 | 50% 25689-25525 (51214) |
UP UpTheBlues | Yesavg 70.1¢ | $3.7K | $4.2K | +$542.38 | 59% 46944-33223 (80167) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Yesavg 69¢ | $3.1K | $4.5K | +$1.4K | 51% 1532-1483 (3015) |
KW kwzo | Yesavg 87¢ | $3.0K | $3.4K | +$448.28 | 46% 74-86 (160) |
DA darkumbreon88 | Yesavg 69¢ | $1.9K | $2.8K | +$464.83 | 65% 1759-964 (2723) |
CA Cannae | Yesavg 68¢ | $1.1K | $1.5K | +$366.41 | 53% 16124-14290 (30414) |
KY Kyn008 | Yesavg 69¢ | $955.57 | $1.4K | +$214.66 | 49% 258-268 (526) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Yesavg 77.9¢ | $509.83 | $478.89 | -$30.94 | 52% 13935-12713 (26648) |
LI LilybaeumARB<$100 | Noavg 33.9¢ | $527.42 | $281.24 | -$246.18 | 61% 13796-8679 (22475) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 66¢ | $185.51 | $281.24 | +$95.73 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 33.9¢ | $341.91 | — | -$341.91 | |
OM omnibus-076daa | Yesavg 82¢ | $373.97 | $456.06 | +$82.09 | 50% 19465-19831 (39296) |
 HRTrading | Yesavg 70.1¢ | $218.1 | $283.15 | +$65.05 | 53% 5677-5082 (10759) |
 Fuentes31CTR | Noavg 32¢ | $450 | — | -$450 | 53% 664-586 (1250) |
TO topdogbigboi | Yesavg 64.8¢ | $105.54 | $152 | +$46.46 | 48% 8991-9637 (18628) |
 0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816 | Yesavg 83¢ | $100 | $120.48 | +$20.48 | 70% 338-145 (483) |
AP apprentice15 | Yesavg 98¢ | $98 | $100 | +$2 | 42% 476-646 (1122) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Yesavg 69¢ | $64.55 | $74 | -$2.01 | 57% 29247-21632 (50879) |
FO fooooolCTR | Noavg 23.1¢ | $100.58 | — | -$100.58 | 50% 11182-10999 (22181) |
AN AnonymousUsernameCTR | Noavg 30¢ | $51.22 | — | -$51.22 | 72% 6833-2629 (9462) |
HE hedgevaultmainnet1<$100 | Yesavg 68.3¢ | $43.56 | $63.8 | +$20.24 | 53% 2255-1981 (4236) |
OL olpy<$100 | Yesavg 69¢ | $29.85 | $30.89 | +$1.04 | 73% 417-154 (571) |
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100 | Noavg 28.7¢ | $53.58 | — | -$53.58 | 58% 18786-13851 (32637) |
 bernardi22CTR<$100 | Noavg 0.1¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 56% 1300-1021 (2321) |
 noosh3 | Yesavg 87¢ | $299.99 | $0.01 | +$44.48 | 52% 282-260 (542) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Noavg 29¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33888-33462 (67350) |
RN1Invested
$8,292.38
Value
$10.0K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
54%
57187-49444 (106631)
Invested
$8,043.38
Value
$7.1K
PnL
-$902.06
Record
50%
25689-25525 (51214)
Invested
$3,676.77
Value
$4.2K
PnL
+$542.38
Record
59%
46944-33223 (80167)
Invested
$3,139.5
Value
$4.5K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
51%
1532-1483 (3015)
Invested
$3,000
Value
$3.4K
PnL
+$448.28
Record
46%
74-86 (160)
Invested
$1,943.84
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$464.83
Record
65%
1759-964 (2723)
Invested
$1,134.89
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$366.41
Record
53%
16124-14290 (30414)
Invested
$955.57
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$214.66
Record
49%
258-268 (526)
Invested
$509.83
Value
$478.89
PnL
-$30.94
Record
52%
13935-12713 (26648)
Invested
$527.42
Value
$281.24
PnL
-$246.18
Record
61%
13796-8679 (22475)
Both legs:
Invested
$373.97
Value
$456.06
PnL
+$82.09
Record
50%
19465-19831 (39296)
HRTradingInvested
$218.1
Value
$283.15
PnL
+$65.05
Record
53%
5677-5082 (10759)
Fuentes31CTRInvested
$450
Value
—
PnL
-$450
Record
53%
664-586 (1250)
Invested
$105.54
Value
$152
PnL
+$46.46
Record
48%
8991-9637 (18628)
0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816Invested
$100
Value
$120.48
PnL
+$20.48
Record
70%
338-145 (483)
Invested
$98
Value
$100
PnL
+$2
Record
42%
476-646 (1122)
Invested
$64.55
Value
$74
PnL
-$2.01
Record
57%
29247-21632 (50879)
Invested
$100.58
Value
—
PnL
-$100.58
Record
50%
11182-10999 (22181)
Invested
$51.22
Value
—
PnL
-$51.22
Record
72%
6833-2629 (9462)
Invested
$43.56
Value
$63.8
PnL
+$20.24
Record
53%
2255-1981 (4236)
Invested
$29.85
Value
$30.89
PnL
+$1.04
Record
73%
417-154 (571)
Invested
$53.58
Value
—
PnL
-$53.58
Record
58%
18786-13851 (32637)
bernardi22CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
56%
1300-1021 (2321)
noosh3Invested
$299.99
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$44.48
Record
52%
282-260 (542)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33888-33462 (67350)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Yes — $10.0K
GoalLineGhost
Yes — $7.1K
UpTheBlues
Yes — $4.2K
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
Yes — $4.5K
kwzo
Yes — $3.4K
darkumbreon88
Yes — $2.8K
Cannae
Yes — $1.5K
Kyn008
Yes — $1.4K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Yes — $478.89
Lilybaeum
ARBArbitrage — excluded