← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BillBenter2026 | beachboy4 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (6135–3334, n=9469) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $42K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (8 of 18 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 61% (92 of 150 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA ±0 pts, n=156 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 4544 at avg 72¢, ROI +15% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 23% of 204) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 45% of 399) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 84% of 1142) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 99% of 2799) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BillBenter2026 | beachboy4 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $62 | — | No $23K | — |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $43 | — | Yes $10K | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3 | — | Yes $7.4K | — |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $73 | — | No $737 | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | No $70 | — |
| Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $63 | — | Yes $2 | — |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | — | No $15 | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers same side · consensus Steelers | Steelers $29 | — | Steelers $3.6K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Ravens $788 | — | Ravens $727 | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | Yes $320 | — |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $5 | — | Yes $2 | — |