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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BlondBeast | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (729–284, n=1013) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $38K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (17 of 19 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −5 pts, n=35 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 811 at avg 68¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 14% of 166) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 43% of 67) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 77% of 88) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 95% of 490) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BlondBeast | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.2K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $72 | No $26K | — | — |