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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBank00gringo00primmomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (537–650, n=1187)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (986–968, n=1954)50% (14425–14501, n=28926)
Consensus PnL$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus85% (53 of 62 open)no open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)8% (won 59% of 873)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)21% (won 86% of 2319)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)38% (won 94% of 4154)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)32% (won 99% of 3497)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBank00gringo00primmomnibus-076daa
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Commanders $44K—Eagles $1.3K—
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.5KOver $73
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $85K——Yes $2.0K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $30K——Yes $3.0K
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $655Under $159