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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankBurkilota1ferrariChampions2026primm
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)62% (674–416, n=1090)35% (3666–6666, n=10332)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$145K$3.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #258PM monthly #115PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)30% (11 of 37 open)74% (17 of 23 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +9 pts n=152, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +9 pts n=24, ROI +1%
  • NBA +8 pts n=28, ROI +11%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Crypto −1 pts, n=190——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%20% of 609 at avg 16¢, ROI +8%—99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)89% (won 15% of 540)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)11% (won 61% of 67)—41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)0% (won 50% of 2)—49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%—5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankBurkilota1ferrariChampions2026primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $409KYes $42——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $2——