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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCORGIIprimmbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus72% (74 of 103 open)0% (0 of 4 open)59% (17 of 29 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCORGIIprimmbeachboy4
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $51K—Ravens $696—
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376—