← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | CoffeeDespiser | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 50% (842–838, n=1680) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | -$67K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #436 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (72 of 113 open) | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 59% (33 of 56 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=696 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1735 at avg 49¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 23% (won 10% of 396) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 29% (won 43% of 502) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 27% (won 58% of 461) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 22% (won 86% of 376) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | CoffeeDespiser | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $242K | Yes $5.7K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $33K | No $13K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $120K | No $4.1K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $42K | No $7.5K | — | — |