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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDirkDiggler67primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)60% (394–260, n=654)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$173K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #439PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)56% (32 of 57 open)56% (9 of 16 open)61% (126 of 208 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Esports −23 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%60% of 681 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)35% (won 13% of 240)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 51% of 70)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)10% (won 82% of 67)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)45% (won 94% of 304)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDirkDiggler67primmRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $29K——Pelicans $136
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $17K——Pelicans $130
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $8.7KCentral Michigan $394
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.0KOver $1.4K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.4KUMass $831
Spread: Ball State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
——UMass $1.6KBall State $191
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $201Over $1.2K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $462Over $366
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $437Sacramento State $23
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $4.3KToledo $512
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $3.0KBall State $636
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $4Toledo $525
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $343——Grizzlies $118