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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlamePyroFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)62% (409–254, n=663)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.8K$4.1M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #756PM monthly #10PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)75% (3 of 4 open)64% (105 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −19 pts, n=20Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)14% (won 20% of 74)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 37% of 103)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)27% (won 65% of 149)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 86% of 217)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlamePyroFlaznorpjoseph00677
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Notre Dame $47KMiami (FL) $965—
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $35KWest Virginia $108—
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
—UTEP $2.7KHawai'i $470—