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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpIIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIlllllljoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)51% (569–555, n=1124)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$114K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #948PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus91% (29 of 32 open)76% (249 of 326 open)30% (3 of 10 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%50% of 896 at avg 41¢, ROI +6%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)48% (won 19% of 433)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)12% (won 51% of 110)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)13% (won 76% of 119)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)26% (won 94% of 234)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpIIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIlllllljoseph00677
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $64KYes $240—
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $29KYes $113—
Will Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $10KYes $55—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5.9KUnder $35—
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $45KNo $680—
Inter Miami CF vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KUnder $40—
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $8No $7—