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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | howard22222 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7711–7000, n=14711) | 42% (135–189, n=324) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.1M | -$26K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #9 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (35 of 40 open) | 64% (75 of 117 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Soccer −12 pts, n=29 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 46% of 228 at avg 45¢, ROI +21% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 18% (won 12% of 42) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 35% (won 40% of 80) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 42% (won 63% of 95) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 5% (won 82% of 11) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | howard22222 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $100K | — | — | Texans $9.4K |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $14K | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $3.9K | — | — | Texans $2.0K |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | — | — | Packers $70K |