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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | xxNyx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 55% (13343–10705, n=24048) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 86% (1795–294, n=2089) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $1.4M | $3.2M | $89K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 65% (79 of 121 open) | no open consensus position | 91% (48 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | Tech −1 pts, n=56 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 81% of 1959 at avg 79¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 9% of 255) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 52% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 57% of 111) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 77% (won 97% of 1502) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | xxNyx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $35K | — | — | Yes $2.0K |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $234 | — | Yes $1.0K |