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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677zerone777
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)28% (481–1237, n=1718)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$5.3M$32K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #119
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)66% (123 of 186 open)100% (1 of 1 open)93% (70 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Mentions −2 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%43% of 609 at avg 43¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)51% (won 3% of 309)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 30% of 33)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)8% (won 65% of 46)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)36% (won 95% of 221)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677zerone777
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $120KYes $2.2MNo $541
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $39K——No $56
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $798
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3—No $798