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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 74% (421–148, n=569) | 44% (106–136, n=242) | 68% (300–138, n=438) |
| Consensus PnL | $779K | $46K | $279K | -$51K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #29 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 62% (23 of 37 open) | 13% (1 of 8 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko opposite sides · consensus Alexander Shevchenko | — | Alexander Shevchenko $345 | Adrian Mannarino $3.5K | — |
| Brisbane 3: Tristan Schoolkate vs Cruz Hewitt same side · consensus Tristan Schoolkate | — | Tristan Schoolkate $2.6K | — | Tristan Schoolkate $7.3K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | — | Lorenzo Sonego $205 | Lorenzo Sonego $437 | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin same side · consensus Michael Geerts | — | — | Juan Martin $622 | Juan Martin $1 |