← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | lava-lava | TeGeeLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 48% (59–64, n=123) | 53% (149–134, n=283) | 50% (46–46, n=92) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $300K | $1.1M | $382K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #438 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (34 of 45 open) | 66% (156 of 238 open) | 63% (39 of 62 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | Finance −17 pts, n=11 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 51% of 90 at avg 47¢, ROI +15% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 34% (won 9% of 93) | 16% (won 36% of 14) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 23% (won 48% of 64) | 44% (won 43% of 40) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 20% (won 67% of 54) | 32% (won 62% of 29) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 24% (won 92% of 65) | 8% (won 86% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | lava-lava | TeGeeLP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $28K | — | Yes $9.9K | — |
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | Bills $529K | Bills $82 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $343K | Suns $245 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Suns $654 | Suns $403 | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49 | — | Yes $351 | — |