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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 39% (291–447, n=738) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $4.6M | $34K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #118 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 64% (122 of 192 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 83% (350 of 424 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $30K | Pelicans $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $1.4K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | — | No $1.6K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.6K | — | — | No $1.4K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $182K | — | — | No $81 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | — | No $1.7K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | — | No $1.6K |