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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-424779primm
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)no settled market50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M—$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21—PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)67% (299 of 447 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)—41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)—49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)—5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-424779primm
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $64KYes $87K——
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $444—Ball State $18
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651KNo $40K——
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2KNo $20K——
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $6.2KCeltics $215——