Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmquietparcel
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)44% (6313–8127, n=14440)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$3.5M$45K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #50PM monthly #251
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)63% (245 of 390 open)no open consensus position83% (171 of 206 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Mentions −4 pts, n=646
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)58% (won 1% of 3260)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)2% (won 39% of 118)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)4% (won 60% of 198)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)36% (won 96% of 2049)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmquietparcel
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $642KNo $113K——