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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpqinlaoban
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (539–574, n=1113)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$75K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #718
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)73% (100 of 137 open)40% (2 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 500 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)48% (won 99% of 238)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)52% (won 99% of 262)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpqinlaoban
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Clippers $562Pelicans $6.6K
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $1.1KMavericks $3.9K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.9KMavericks $3.6K
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $155Nets $41