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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 74% (641–221, n=862) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $6.7K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #920 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 67% (10 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (53 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 454 at avg 68¢, ROI +7% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 20% (won 15% of 92) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 8% (won 47% of 36) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 7% (won 88% of 32) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 65% (won 95% of 294) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $39K | Yes $9.7K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $29K | Yes $102 | — | — |