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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (581–722, n=1303) | 74% (633–221, n=854) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $6.6K | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #926 | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 67% (10 of 15 open) | 71% (55 of 78 open) | 70% (14 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 454 at avg 68¢, ROI +7% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 20% (won 15% of 92) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 8% (won 47% of 36) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 7% (won 88% of 32) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 65% (won 95% of 294) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $37K | Yes $9.7K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | Yes $76 | — | — |