Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankKunkun111primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)58% (18–13, n=31)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #807PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus84% (26 of 31 open)no open consensus position64% (9 of 14 open)61% (44 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%79% of 14 at avg 38¢, ROI +31%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 75% of 4)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)43% (won 67% of 6)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)21% (won 100% of 3)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)7% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankKunkun111primmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3K—Ravens $560Jaguars $174
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $26KJaguars $19K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $9.7KJaguars $7.1K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.0KOver $5.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $601——Jaguars $3.2K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $20K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5K——Warriors $510
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $240